World Events
4 stories
Manifold Markets·World Events·Feb 2, 2026
The Ayatollah and the Armada
Trump announces armada heading to Iran following January protests, with markets tracking escalation odds as he claims 'killing has stopped' while maintaining maximum pressure strategy.
Manifold Markets·World Events·Dec 8, 2025
Carriers and Consequences
Venezuela analysis examines potential crisis scenarios around world's largest oil reserves, with markets pricing intervention odds as Caracas faces economic and political instability.
Polymarket·World Events·Nov 12, 2025
🔮 UKRAINE SHARP
Guide identifies Polymarket's most accurate Ukraine forecasters using wallet analytics from Stand terminal. Helps traders find signal amid geopolitical pundit noise.
Polymarket·World Events·Oct 30, 2025
🔮 LEVERAGE
Top China analyst Bill Bishop discusses Xi-Trump meeting implications and Taiwan timeline predictions. Sinocism author explains why Polymarket's China leadership markets need recalibration.
